💥”Kill the Dollar!” Trump, China, and the Invisible Hand
The dollar is faltering in 2025. It’s not just a market phenomenon. The prelude to a currency War is unfolding, with a Trump comeback scenario, China’s digital yuan strategy, and offshore forces at work.
1. 🌪️ “The dollar is the enemy” Trump’s old vendetta?
With the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump is back at the center of the world stage. His goal isn’t just a return to politics, according to his key staffers.
“Trump still believes it. A strong dollar kills American manufacturing.”
He has believed since his first term that “a weak dollar is a weapon.” The dollar weakness that is now underway is too strong and consistent to be explained by market logic alone. It may be part of a “currency reset operation” that the Trump camp is pushing in preparation for a comeback, along with a change in US monetary policy.
📌 Example:
- Fed hints at rate cuts as early as 2025, citing easing inflation
- Treasury issuance of Treasury bonds increases → markets are “printing dollars” in earnest
- Revival of the Trumpian mantra that “a strong America comes from a weak dollar”
2. 🐉 China’s true nature as it prepares for the “era of the digital yuan”
Meanwhile, China has not been active in defending its exchange rate in the first half of 2025, despite a stronger yuan. Why?
The answer lies in the digital yuan (DCEP). China had been dreaming of entering the global reserve currency space with a digital currency for years, and in 2025, it finally launched a digital currency trade pilot with Southeast Asian countries.
📌 Background scenario:
- Drives yuan strength → Increases purchasing power in China → Strengthens international acceptance of digital yuan
- Aimed to avoid SWIFT-based dollar payments amid rising US-China tensions
- Digital yuan also emerges as an alternative for trade with US sanctioned countries such as Russia and Iran
All of this is China’s way of saying, “We will create a new order to replace the dollar.”
3. 🐍 Offshore forces weaponize exchange rates
And the final piece of the puzzle. **It’s been said that “when the exchange rate fluctuates in Seoul, you can see the shadows of London and New York”.
In April-May 2025, the won/dollar exchange rate plummeted by more than 100 won, from 1,487 to 1,375 won. At first glance, it was a “stronger won,” but it was too fast and unstable.
Some speculate that this may have been a concentrated buying/selling offensive by offshore hedge funds.
💬 Anonymous Forex Dealer:
“The volume wasn’t normal – it felt like the exchange rate was caught, not squeezed.”
📌 Signs:
- Spike in articles analyzing South Korea’s foreign reserves in foreign media
- Buying spree across Asian currencies distorts market prices
- Korean won appreciates faster than U.S. Treasury rates
If this situation is repeated, an “Offshore Currency Attack” could become a reality. This is not a repeat of the 1997 crisis, but it is a potentially disruptive event.
4. 🔮 3 Scenarios for the Foreign Exchange War of 2025
Scenario ① Trump’s return → interest rate cuts → dollar weakness accelerates
- Emphasizing “Made in America” → Dollar Weakness is an Intentional Weapon
- Global Dollar Asset Avoidance → KRW, Yuan, and Yen Continue to Strengthen
- Strong favor for decentralized assets such as Bitcoin and gold
▶ Strategies: Unhedged ETFs expand exposure to global risk assets
Scenario #2 China’s digital yuan expansion → US-China currency bloc erupts
- Southeast Asian, African countries expand yuan trade
- US fears SWIFT-centric isolation
- Dualization of foreign exchange markets → Increased difficulty in predicting exchange rates
▶ Strategies: Currency diversification, Asian currency ETFs, and real assets
Scenario ③ Offshore money launderers attack in earnest
- KRW-YRMB near-term highs → sharp reversal to the downside
- EMs like South Korea threaten to run out of reserves
- Sudden credit crisis in international financial markets
▶ Strategies: Currency Hedged Bonds, Dollar Asset Allocation Returns, Swiss Franc/Gold ETFs
🧭 How should investors act?
🎯 Financial investors:
- Trump-style reflation → Risky assets expand
- But hedging options for increased currency volatility are essential
🏘️ Real estate investors:
- Stronger KRW → Timing to Enter Overseas Real Estate
- Scenario ③ Survival strategy of holding cash assets in the event of an outbreak
🪙 Coin Investor:
- Digital yuan vs. bitcoin framed as opposites
- China-free stablecoin/gold-linked spotlight over USDT
🚨 A final warning from the experts
“The forex market is not a numbers game right now. It’s a battle of power.”
Exchange rates are no longer explained by trade surpluses and deficits alone.
Amid politics, currency wars, and the reshaping of the digital order, exchange rates have become a battleground.
📌 Exchange rates are not something to predict, they are something to defend.
- Currency ETFs
- Global Asset Allocation
- Balanced gold, dollar, and bitcoin holdings
- These are the three basic weapons to survive the currency wars of 2025.
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